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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened for one year only. 2008. it didn't happen in 10 or four. and they are wrong for applying it. it is true if the people who voted in 8 as in 12 obama will get elected. >> brian: does it explain the trend. they were closer even with the same science? >> well, i don't believe that, i believe what they are doing is reweighting the data. that would not establish a trend. the accurate polling which is no reason to go to the polls. go to the accurate one. rasmussen shows the race within a point or two in each of the states . by the way, the trend in rasmussen and in m
dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.
we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.
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Sep 23, 2012
09/12
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. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you make of that? >> you can play lots of games with waiting. vidone it myself. but we have to take these polls as a whole, the polling averages. people ask me, what's the best poll? i always say, none of them. take the polling averages at real clear politics or pollster.com and when you take the averages i don't see what dick is projecting to be reality. maybe that will eventually happen. but it is not there yet. >> steve, larry mentioned this hiewmg gap in women voters -- why? what do you make of that? >> there is always a gender gap. the question is, and i think that dr. sabba
. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you...
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Sep 20, 2012
09/12
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. >> dick morris is also talking this morning he's responding to the criticism that mitt romney is facing this week with the 40 percent of americans likely to vote for him. despite what some are saying he is saying it could work as a positive for the presidential hopeful. >> it is not a rough week for romney. the media loves to paint something do it out of proportion and then yell gaff, gaff, gaff and try to make a story that romney is screwing up. the fact of the matter is at the beginning of the week he was still suffering from the democratic bounce. by the middle of this week monday and tuesday he had caught off the bounce is over. now he told the truth about the 47 percent first one with the guts to say it and the media is assuming that's going to be a big negative. i think it may be a positive and inject welfare into entitlements. the crisis abroad is going to sap obama's credibility on what had been his strength. >>> more on that through the show this morning. look at the map right there? >> ladies, this is the last official week of summer. the warmest temperatures still summertime
. >> dick morris is also talking this morning he's responding to the criticism that mitt romney is facing this week with the 40 percent of americans likely to vote for him. despite what some are saying he is saying it could work as a positive for the presidential hopeful. >> it is not a rough week for romney. the media loves to paint something do it out of proportion and then yell gaff, gaff, gaff and try to make a story that romney is screwing up. the fact of the matter is at the...
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Sep 8, 2012
09/12
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>> yeah, we're back with dick morris and i imagine, first of all, dick. the most important going to mile high, are they going there ahead of time to prepare. >> alisyn: acclimate? >> that would be a good thing to do. and there was one football game a couple of years ago where the jets were playing the broncos, and jets didn't go out to denver until the day before aut that that was a mist, that was a playoff game and the broncos destroyed them in the second half. winded there. >> alisyn: there's a political lesson there. seriously, weeks beforehand, how much time are they dedicated to preparing and what are they doing? >> i don't think they're rehearsing yet. they will. you think the conventions themselves as the preparation for the debate. because both parties were getting their message down. and the democratic message is that the republican party is telling you, you're on your own. and the republican message is to say that we need government to let us alone so that we can grow. and i want to tell you all a cute story. and once bill clinton came in to me
>> yeah, we're back with dick morris and i imagine, first of all, dick. the most important going to mile high, are they going there ahead of time to prepare. >> alisyn: acclimate? >> that would be a good thing to do. and there was one football game a couple of years ago where the jets were playing the broncos, and jets didn't go out to denver until the day before aut that that was a mist, that was a playoff game and the broncos destroyed them in the second half. winded there....
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Sep 12, 2012
09/12
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let's dial in dick morris. he's joining us this morning from denver, i believe. dick, last week we heard that in the platform they had taken jerusalem and god out of the platform before they put it back in. now it looks like the white house had a chance to meet with benjamin netanyahu, although they disagree with the chronology and everything else. they say scheduling problem, not going to work out. how is this going to impact jewish voters, if at all? >> well, first of all, i think the whole development of the last 24 hours are really calling into question obama's foreign policy credentials and his supposed advantage in that field. don't forget that this libya attack comes at a country with the united states basically underwrote their whole revolution, put our own people at risk, flying strikes in the no-fly zone. this is a uprising the u.s. backed and supported. this is a tremendous, tremendous reversal and a black eye for obama and his foreign policy. on the netanyahu front, it was incredible that hillary clinton said yesterday, there are no bright lines, whic
let's dial in dick morris. he's joining us this morning from denver, i believe. dick, last week we heard that in the platform they had taken jerusalem and god out of the platform before they put it back in. now it looks like the white house had a chance to meet with benjamin netanyahu, although they disagree with the chronology and everything else. they say scheduling problem, not going to work out. how is this going to impact jewish voters, if at all? >> well, first of all, i think the...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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megyn: do you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll?
megyn: do you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't...
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the difference was, when the democrats lost in 1994, bill and hillary clinton brought in dick morris and they said, you know, if we don't learn something from this experience we will be beat in '96. i thought that parts of the clinton speech were eerily anti-obama. if you listen to the sub text. and he said, i worked with welfare because i worked with the republicans, but you didn't president obama. i had the longest growth in history, and you didn't, mr. obama. you can take the speech and spin it not much and it is a condemnation of the fact that obama learned nothing. bob woodward's new book indicates that he learned nothing out of the 2010 election. >> can bill clinton move votes for president obama? >> well, he can temporarily move votes. i would say that the bounce that obama is getting coming out of the convention is 80% bill clinton. he is a popular figure for a practical reason, the economy worked. people had jobs. we reduced children in poverty by 25% through the welfare reform and balanced the budget for four years and you look back and say, i think that what it does is shr
the difference was, when the democrats lost in 1994, bill and hillary clinton brought in dick morris and they said, you know, if we don't learn something from this experience we will be beat in '96. i thought that parts of the clinton speech were eerily anti-obama. if you listen to the sub text. and he said, i worked with welfare because i worked with the republicans, but you didn't president obama. i had the longest growth in history, and you didn't, mr. obama. you can take the speech and spin...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.
we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n.
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the models they are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of 6-sevenpoints >> chris: that's the key. if they are using the metric where there are six or sevenmore percent they tend to win the poles. they are taking rasmussen metric and they and pew were closest to being right. and they analyzed the data and according to these folks, mitt romney has 5-11 percent in all of the other polls. ing interesting. >> gretchen: if you are conducting polls why not split it 50-50. why would you skew it. >> steve: rasmussen figured out in the latest poll. 30.67 percent of the country considers them republican.
dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the...
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Sep 19, 2012
09/12
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dick morris. good to see you this morning. see you next week soon. >> brian: coming up. curtain coming down on the father/daughter dance in one school because it discrimsinates? thank goodness it is tame. ♪ [ male announcer ] every day, thousands of people are choosing advil® for their headaches. my name is sunshine and i have three beautiful girls. i like taking advil® for a headache. it nips it in the bud. and i can be that mommy that i want to be. ♪ [ male announcer ] take action. take advil®. i just served my mother-in-law your chicken noodle soup but she loved it so much... i told her it was homemade. everyone tells a little white lie now and then. but now she wants my recipe [ clears his throat ] [ softly ] she's right behind me isn't she? [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. we believe the more you know, the better you trade. so we have ongoing webinars and interactive learning, plus, in-branch seminars at over 500 locations, where our dedicated support teams help you know more so your money can do more. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven do
dick morris. good to see you this morning. see you next week soon. >> brian: coming up. curtain coming down on the father/daughter dance in one school because it discrimsinates? thank goodness it is tame. ♪ [ male announcer ] every day, thousands of people are choosing advil® for their headaches. my name is sunshine and i have three beautiful girls. i like taking advil® for a headache. it nips it in the bud. and i can be that mommy that i want to be. ♪ [ male announcer ] take...
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Sep 22, 2012
09/12
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. >> okay, dick morris. >> all bets are that she will be gone most say she is done as sifs. susan rice, she is the one who came out. is there a fracture here is there another important question here. regardless of that were the american people lied to? is this an evolution gathering the facts on this and evolving throughout the week or were the american people lied to initially told spontaneous reaction told anti-islam film. >> third whether or not it's a terrorist attack would we provide the same response you would after the coal bombing or would you provide a different response like after september 11th in afghanistan? lt. colonel tony shaffer on what sort of military course we should be taking. listen to his response. >> right now we have got to look at how to get inside this network because clearly here this met work is reestablished itself globally. we have to get these intelligence officers back out there doing hard stuff. a the love the intelligence officers were told sit on their hands and don't do anything too provocative because they are all our friends now. they a
. >> okay, dick morris. >> all bets are that she will be gone most say she is done as sifs. susan rice, she is the one who came out. is there a fracture here is there another important question here. regardless of that were the american people lied to? is this an evolution gathering the facts on this and evolving throughout the week or were the american people lied to initially told spontaneous reaction told anti-islam film. >> third whether or not it's a terrorist attack...
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Sep 20, 2012
09/12
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we agree with dick morris when he said the undecided vote to break a candidate. the president has had a good week, but by the end of these debates people will ask themselves, are you better off now than you were four years ago? does this president is service second term? we do not think he does. we think we are -- does this president deserve a second term? we do not think he does. as we can this, we talked to a lot of voters who were for the president last time and will not be again. >> tim burke, let me ask you about the economics of hamilton county. how was it doing? what is the unemployment rate, and what impact will that have on overall results in november? >> let me speak to ohio in general, as alex just did. i think the reason president obama is doing so well -- the biggest one may be the of the rescue. 750,000 jobs in ohio -- many right here in southwest ohio -- depend on the auto industry. the fact that has come back as strongly as it has has ohio doing better than the national economy is doing. just yesterday we had president obama here. the individual w
we agree with dick morris when he said the undecided vote to break a candidate. the president has had a good week, but by the end of these debates people will ask themselves, are you better off now than you were four years ago? does this president is service second term? we do not think he does. we think we are -- does this president deserve a second term? we do not think he does. as we can this, we talked to a lot of voters who were for the president last time and will not be again. >>...